Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.292042 0.394074 0.506985 0.638999 0.787151 0.946597 1.129584
2025-06-01 0.128469 0.247066 0.399177 0.596243 0.835154 1.107844 1.435923
2025-06-08 0.061493 0.174682 0.341435 0.575035 0.873102 1.225511 1.660776
2025-06-15 0.030600 0.137878 0.319156 0.589934 0.948768 1.383493 1.929816
2025-06-22 0.010162 0.101339 0.286208 0.582296 0.989645 1.494542 2.139064
2025-06-29 0.000920 0.069785 0.251050 0.564673 1.012658 1.580101 2.314963
2025-07-06 NaN 0.060695 0.252614 0.599210 1.103916 1.750071 2.592676
2025-07-13 NaN 0.055152 0.259301 0.640681 1.204138 1.931196 2.884065
2025-07-20 NaN 0.049138 0.263076 0.676652 1.296301 2.101847 3.162561
2025-07-27 NaN 0.050619 0.283929 0.740319 1.427338 2.322674 3.503446
2025-08-03 NaN 0.046914 0.291318 0.781520 1.526654 2.502650 3.793863
2025-08-10 NaN 0.035869 0.276780 0.784723 1.571293 2.611363 3.995401
2025-08-17 NaN 0.017559 0.232100 0.734819 1.541664 2.627479 4.087852
2025-08-24 NaN 0.005724 0.190126 0.683422 1.506771 2.635285 4.169575
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001404 0.166722 0.662064 1.513408 2.695691 4.315276
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000418 0.162365 0.677699 1.576071 2.831396 4.557091
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.147561 0.669592 1.600963 2.915266 4.732065
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.129122 0.650586 1.607256 2.972837 4.872559
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.135416 0.687764 1.703202 3.153886 5.172929
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.144815 0.732301 1.811109 3.351622 5.495147
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.151639 0.770857 1.909494 3.536337 5.800673
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.171104 0.838943 2.055432 3.786859 6.191683
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.180188 0.882908 2.162719 3.984146 6.513875